Trading Psychology & Execution · Entry 60 of 71

What Is a High Probability Trade?

Stacking edge and confluence instead of predicting

A high probability trade is about stacking multiple confirmations

• Step 1 - Higher Timeframe Bias: Identify overall trend. Never trade against HTF bias.
• Step 2 - Liquidity Target: Identify where retail stops are resting (EQL/EQH, key levels).
• Step 3 - Liquidity Taken: Wait for a liquidity grab or sweep before entering.
• Step 4 - Confirmation Signal: Confirm intent via CHoCH, MSS, or strong displacement.
• Step 5 - Entry at Key Zone: Position entry at an Order Block, FVG, or OTE. High Probability = Confluence (Bias + Liquidity + Confirmation + Entry Zone) Common Mistake: Taking trades based on a single concept instead of combining confirmations.